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HSBC's multi-asset chief: almost 45 Nasdaq 100 names have lost 10 points of multiple
4 calls: Why 100bps of Fed hikes is already in the price, what the systematic funds are flashing against everyone else, and the line on the chart he…
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Nvidia has become a defensive asset, says the chart analyst who runs the WRTH ETF
12 calls: Why he would pair long Nvidia against a short in the SOX, the Amazon strangle he sold for 16.95% annualized, and the 7-9% drop in crude one…
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Shadowridge CIO: the 8 months from the midterms to June have never been negative
12 predictions: Why he expects the market to shrug off a rate rise this week, the oil price that caps the rally, and the 40-year cycle he says makes…
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Edward Jones strategist: AI capex goes from $800B this year to over $1.1T next
14 insights: Why a 25bp hike is 62% priced, what a 10-year above 5% would do to valuations, and the research that says buying at all-time highs beats…
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TCW's ETF head: active ETFs are 13% of the market and 40% of this year's flows
9 takeaways: Why he says wealth portfolios are structurally underweight securitized credit, what is pulling money into a picks-and-shovels power fund…
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Michael Youngworth: a third of the convertible market is now an AI trade
7 arguments: The 11% drawdown converts took while BofA's AI baskets fell 30–40%, why volatility makes the embedded option worth more, and why the entry…
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HSBC's macro team: a September hike is close to 50-50 and the 10-year ends 2026 at 4.65%
12 calls: Why a 50bp rise in yields now hits equity valuations about half as hard as in 2022, the $2T deficit heading for the debt limit, and the PCE…
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Jim Paulsen: a 20%+ bear market in tech, without one in the S&P 500
12 arguments: The job-market misery index that has only been this high in recessions, why he sees 4% on the 10-year before 5%, and the wall of worry he…
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Lori Calvasina: RBC cuts 10% off consensus earnings to allow for AI froth
6 calls: why she expects a 5-10% pullback, where she says the capex cycle is only in the third innings, and the number of Fed hikes that has…
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Phil Camporeale: a 5% 10-year is not an alarm bell for the AI trade
4 calls: Why he says a 5% 10-year Treasury yield is normal rather than alarming, the 8400 S&P target behind it, and the cohort he says insulates the…
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Mike McGlone: gold has become a stock puppet, and he would sell into it
9 takeaways: why he calls Trump's $5,000 midterm pledge a sign of desperation, the 2008 playbook he expects oil to repeat, and the "accident waiting to…
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Facts vs Feelings: markets now price Fed hike odds over a cut
9 takeaways: why the jobless rate's record streak is real, what's quietly skewing wage growth, and how markets are now pricing Fed hike odds over a cut
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