Quotes here are condensed and lightly edited for clarity. Numbers, names and speakers' own qualifications are preserved.
The war has taken 17% of Qatar's state revenue, the governor of the country's central bank said at the Qatar Economic Forum, and the economy has contracted 7%. The LNG plant that funds much of it was attacked, and the first estimate puts the repair at two to three years.
That was one interview on a day when 42 other conversations worked the same shock from every other side: a Qatar Airways chief executive paying about 90% more for jet fuel and putting none of it on a ticket, two Bloomberg reporters who count between a third and half of the world's experimental drugs now starting in China, and a NASA administrator who found three-quarters of his technical workforce on staffing-agency payrolls.
"17% of our revenue has been wiped out." — Sheikh Bandar bin Mohammed bin Saoud Al-Thani, governor of Qatar Central Bank, on Bloomberg Podcasts
We scanned 722 shows and 14 hours of audio, wrote 42 summaries, and pulled 90 quotes into this 23-minute read.
Here is what mattered.
Macro
Raising into an election is inappropriate
"I think there's no question that the energy shock is having a big impact on all this, and I think it would be completely inappropriate for the Fed to raise in front of an election." — Steven Mnuchin, former US Treasury Secretary and founder of Liberty Strategic Capital, on Bloomberg Podcasts
Borrow shorter while rates are this high
"I think the bigger focus is really what he does with issuance. And I think it would be a reasonable approach with interest rates going up this much to, on the margin, have less long term borrowing and more short term borrowing." — Steven Mnuchin, former US Treasury Secretary and founder of Liberty Strategic Capital, on Bloomberg Podcasts
Exuberance is proved, irrational is not
"Allen Greenspan used the phrase in '97, I think it was irrational exuberance, and that is the definition of a bubble. We certainly have exuberance. The question is whether it's irrational." — Howard Marks, co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management, on Bloomberg Podcasts
Optimists lift price above value
"I think that, you have to recognize that when the optimists rule, prices tend to be high relative to intrinsic value, which means that it's a time for a little bit of caution." — Howard Marks, co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management, on Bloomberg Podcasts
The 8,400 target moves six months
"The way I would frame it is we're moving the 8,400 for the S&P 500 at the end of this year into the middle of next year. Just think it's going to take us a bit longer here." — Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, on Thoughtful Money
The Treasury has a bazooka and has not used it
"Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has a bazooka. The bazooka is simply to announce that hey, you know what? I'm not going to buy back a piddling six billion here and there. I'm going to go for some much bigger numbers and I'm going to finance it by issuing bills." — Ed Yardeni, president of Yardeni Research, on Thoughtful Money
The quarter point was political
"There is no economic reason. The economic reason would in fact have argued for a 50 basis point increase. The reason for not doing it is political reason." — Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, on David Lin
October is four days from the vote
"The end of October Federal Open Market Committee meeting will be barely four days before the midterm elections. Typically, the Fed does not hike just before the elections, and I don't think it'll happen this time either." — Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, on David Lin
19x forward earnings, and cheaper for a reason
"So now the forward PE is down to one of the lowest levels we've seen in several years. We're at about just over 19 times forward earnings and the market's gotten cheaper." — Michael Kantrowitz, chief investment strategist at Piper Sandler, on What's Next For Markets
18x with oil still rising is a down market
"If we fall to a multiple of 18 times earnings and we do see oil prices or interest rates continue to press higher, you're looking at a market that's flat to down from where we are today, or most likely down." — Michael Kantrowitz, chief investment strategist at Piper Sandler, on What's Next For Markets
$7T rolls over in the next year
"If we didn't have all this debt that has to be refinanced, I believe it's about $7 trillion in the next 6 to 12 months that's rolling over from the US balance sheet, the US debt." — Gareth Soloway, chief market strategist and president of Verified Investing, on David Lin
A weak Fed raises the cost of the debt
"And I hope the president deep down understands that you got to have a strong Fed otherwise people do not believe the US will ever pay its debts." — Gareth Soloway, chief market strategist and president of Verified Investing, on David Lin
5% is the break point under the bubble
"So what we have I think in this 5% level is essentially a psychological break point which is going to burst this extraordinary bubble. And this bubble is the biggest bubble in history in financial history so far as we can tell." — Alasdair Macleod, publisher of MacleodFinance, on Reinvent Money
He will not rule out $200 oil
"So, I would not rule out the price of oil going up well over $200 a barrel, perhaps even over $300 or $400 a barrel, though that's probably looking forward a little bit too far because this adjustment isn't necessarily going to happen overnight." — Alasdair Macleod, publisher of MacleodFinance, on Reinvent Money
Foreign holders are now the minority
"We've moved from a situation 10 years ago where foreign investors held the majority of US Treasury securities. Now they hold a minority. We can't count on them to the same extent to hold our assets and finance our deficits." — Barry Eichengreen, professor of economics and political science at the University of California, Berkeley, on The Disciplined Investor
99% of stablecoins are dollar-linked
"The view in the United States is that the future lies in stablecoins and because we are the first mover, 99% of stablecoins out there at the moment are linked to the US dollar." — Barry Eichengreen, professor of economics and political science at the University of California, Berkeley, on The Disciplined Investor
A full point of inflation is the war
"Inflation's been hovering around 3.5%. If it wasn't for the war, it'd probably be around 2.5%, economists estimate. So that's a pretty big difference." — Konrad Putzier, economics reporter at The Wall Street Journal, on WSJ What's News
$10.3T of debt reprices this year
"You raise rates, you have $10.3 trillion of government debt coming due in the next 12 months, at the current yield curve. You're going to put that debt with an additional 98 to a hundred billion dollars on the model." — A co-host of Basis Points, on Basis Points
He would take 10% inflation over a recession
"I'd rather have 10% inflation than a recession." — Steve Fiorillo, Seeking Alpha analyst and co-host of Basis Points, on Basis Points
International
Closing the China sites follows the customers
"We have to align our engineering and our resources where we have business. And so, it's a very simple step in that process. That doesn't mean we don't have ongoing business in China. But our technology licensing business continues to engage." — Justin Hotard, CEO of Nokia, on CNBC International Live
He calls China an innovation leader
"And it doesn't mean that we're not very aware of what China's doing because at the end of the day, China is an innovation leader, and that's why this is a race." — Justin Hotard, CEO of Nokia, on CNBC International Live
Hyderabad went from 50M to 160M sq ft
"Bangalore is a bigger market. It's approaching 300 million square feet. Hyderabad is much smaller. It's like 160 million square feet. So, much smaller. But a decade ago, Hyderabad was probably 50." — Shirish Godbole, CEO of Knowledge Realty Trust, on Bloomberg Television
Call center to back office to front office
"If I look back two decades ago, we were like a call center. That call center has gone to a back office. The back office went to a mid-office and the mid office now is literally a front office because tech is really part of the business, right? And that's why I feel despite AI, we're doing very well." — Shirish Godbole, CEO of Knowledge Realty Trust, on Bloomberg Television
India produced the firm's best private equity returns
"So let's invest in IT services and the real estate that supports it. Let's invest in companies supporting the rising middle class. ... And the results of that have been phenomenal. So we produced our highest returns in the world in private equity in India." — Jon Gray, COO of Blackstone, on Bloomberg Television
The missing infrastructure was legal, not physical
"Well, I think the real issue that has held India back for a long time was the infrastructure in the country. And it wasn't just the physical infrastructure. It was the legal, the capital markets infrastructure." — Jon Gray, COO of Blackstone, on Bloomberg Television
Two to three years to repair the LNG plant
"The impact is huge. LNG facility has been attacked. The damage is huge and will take, as per the first estimation, two to three years to repair." — Sheikh Bandar bin Mohammed bin Saoud Al-Thani, governor of Qatar Central Bank, on Bloomberg Podcasts
A 7% contraction he calls temporary
"We are in the region where the war is existing, and that has impacted our economy. We contracted by seven percent because of the war. The good thing is it's not structural. It's because of the current situation." — Sheikh Bandar bin Mohammed bin Saoud Al-Thani, governor of Qatar Central Bank, on Bloomberg Podcasts
$245B of service exports and 60% of outsourcing
"We have probably the largest software service export industry in the world. Last year we exported $245 billion of services to the globe. 60% of global outsourcing comes here. 6 million people are employed in the software export industry." — Mohandas Pai, former CFO of Infosys, on Bloomberg Television
$110B of subsidies against $7B of innovation
"For example, the government of India and the state government give about $110 billion of subsidies a year. It's very large for poor people. But they're not even investing $6, $7 billion in innovation." — Mohandas Pai, former CFO of Infosys, on Bloomberg Television
Most stocks lose to the index
"For those of you that don't know, the majority of stocks will not beat the stock market index." — Owen Rask, founder of Rask and CIO at Rask Invest, on Equity Mates
A US index is already a global portfolio
"So what I mean to say is give or take 30 to 40% of the revenue from US companies comes from outside the United States. So the businesses themselves are internally diversified." — Owen Rask, founder of Rask and CIO at Rask Invest, on Equity Mates
Sponsorship is sometimes bought to block a rival
"Well, what's the point of sponsorship? You know, you and I know that mainly it's to generate more revenues for the owner, but also it's sometimes to block out the competition." — Jeremy Sampson, chairman of Brand Finance Africa, on BusinessDayTV
Blood on the streets, date unknown
"People are talking about a digital bubble at the moment. Yes there's going to be blood on the streets. But when will that be? Well, who knows?" — Jeremy Sampson, chairman of Brand Finance Africa, on BusinessDayTV
Financials
A 5% yield raises the bar for everything else
"If you look at our own portfolio, we remain at benchmark for equities and fixed income. But I think the fact that yields are higher today, it just raises the bar for all other asset classes." — Yie-Hsin Hung, CEO of State Street Investment Management, on Bloomberg Podcasts
The market is trading the Fed, not the inflation
"I think that there's been so much focus on the markets on what is the Fed's next set of moves, and maybe a little less focus on what if inflation is more persistent and we're in a higher for longer rate environment." — Yie-Hsin Hung, CEO of State Street Investment Management, on Bloomberg Podcasts
Forty years in, the most uncertain stretch
"In fact, in my forty years in business, I think we're at a period of heightened uncertainty for sure. And it requires a different playbook for businesses and business leaders to confront all these things." — John Doyle, president and CEO of Marsh McLennan, on Bloomberg Podcasts
Generative AI has not shown it makes money
"There's the hacking. There's a cybersecurity risk, but there's also the risk that people are gonna overinvest in an unproven technology. And at the moment, especially, generative AI is a bit unproven when it comes to making money." — John Doyle, president and CEO of Marsh McLennan, on Bloomberg Podcasts
Senior housing is growing 15% to 20%
"But the companies like the publicly-traded companies like Welltower and Ventas that invest in these senior housing facilities, they're seeing same property net operating income growth in the 15% to 20% range" — Jon Petersen, equity analyst at Jefferies, on WSJ's Take On the Week
REITs beat the market for 7 years after dot-com
"In the dot-com run up, REITs underperformed. Once the dot-com bubble burst, REITs outperformed the broader market on a total return basis for seven straight years in a row because everybody kind of stepped back from tech for a long period of time and real estate felt like the safe place to be." — Jon Petersen, equity analyst at Jefferies, on WSJ's Take On the Week
Alternatives and PE
The best growth market of his career
"Well, it's actually, we're a growth equity firm, and it's one of the best times of my thirty years to be a growth investor." — Bill Ford, CEO of General Atlantic, on Bloomberg Podcasts
Market access is now an underwritten risk
"And you have to put a filter on and say, will market access be fully available for that company? That becomes an investment risk that has to be assessed. So that's different. We didn't have to worry about that before." — Bill Ford, CEO of General Atlantic, on Bloomberg Podcasts
Every cycle he has invested in overshot
"Every tech cycle I've invested in, the PC cycle, the Internet cycle, the mobile cycle, the cloud cycle, and now AI, there's always moments of over capitalization and overvaluation. But over a ten, twenty year period, there's plenty of opportunity." — Bill Ford, CEO of General Atlantic, on Bloomberg Podcasts
Consumer
Fame sells the first purchase and nothing after it
"As celebrity talent can drive you to a product once, but it can't keep customers coming back over and over again. Only fierce loyalty for an excellent product can do that." — Emma Grede, co-founder and CEO of Good American, on The Journal.
Avoid the conversation and the money avoids you
"And what happens when you avoid conversations around money is that the money avoids you." — Emma Grede, co-founder and CEO of Good American, on The Journal.
A third to half of the pipeline starts in China
"If we look at the whole universe of experimental drugs that are being developed around the world, depending on how you count, between a third to half of the pipeline came from China. So there's just a lot of innovation going on. There's a lot to choose from." — Robert Langreth, senior reporter at Bloomberg, on Big Take
Twice as fast at half the cost
"What one of the drug company executives said to reporters at one point is that they said literally you can go twice as fast at half the cost in China." — Amber Tong, Asia biopharma reporter at Bloomberg, quoting a drug company executive, on Big Take
General Mills is down 26% in a year
"And when you look at what this company and some of the peers have really been reporting, and even when you look at the stock performance, we're talking about General Mills over the last 12 months down 26%, far cry from where it was a year ago." — Bailey Lipschultz, senior equities reporter at Bloomberg News, on Stock Movers
Groceries or breadsticks, not both
"Again, we are still dealing with an environment where people are forced to decide whether they want to go out and buy groceries or if they want to go to Olive Garden for some breadsticks." — Bailey Lipschultz, senior equities reporter at Bloomberg News, on Stock Movers
Sports
A scarce asset that is still growing
"Number three is the scarce resource. Any scarce resource has a premium to it. And if the scarce resource is growing, there's much more premium to it." — Rajesh Menon, CEO of Royal Challengers Bengaluru, on Bloomberg Television
85% of the league's money is media
"But currently, if you look at it, 85 percent is coming from media." — Rajesh Menon, CEO of Royal Challengers Bengaluru, on Bloomberg Television
The automatic cameras follow the wrong ball
"One thing we did look at was the cameras, the AI cameras specifically, which is a good thing for certain sports in rugby. It hasn't perfected it yet" — Chris Venter, performance analyst at the Lions, on BusinessDayTV
Label the kicks and let the model find the difference
"If you look at your kickers and just comparing the video footage, the actual clip of their technique and just label them as successful kicks and unsuccessful kicks. How it will automatically or on its own determine what is the better technique per kicker." — Chris Venter, performance analyst at the Lions, on BusinessDayTV
Technology & AI
A billion adults a day, not a teenage niche
"You've got over a billion people a day playing mobile casual games. These are all adults, heads of households, and the scale of the opportunity is just humongous." — Adam Foroughi, co-founder and CEO of AppLovin, on All-In
The stock fell 92% while the business earned $1B
"We got as high as 40 billion. And then in 22, the stock went down literally every day. We got to about a $3.8 billion market cap. In that year, we did a billion dollars in EBITDA." — Adam Foroughi, co-founder and CEO of AppLovin, on All-In
The team moves at the speed of its slowest member
"Collaboration comes with incredible coordination costs. And coordination costs essentially assure that you're moving as slow as the slowest node in the system." — Peter Sellis, former head of product at Discord and the first product manager at Snapchat, on Lenny's Podcast
Under 18, the advertising cannot be measured
"If you're under 17, the rules around how you can track and measure and target ads are extremely constraining and justifiably so." — Peter Sellis, former head of product at Discord and the first product manager at Snapchat, on Lenny's Podcast
China went from 20% behind to level in a year
"They've gone from maybe 20% behind last year to now kind of just a, hair length away. I think, yeah, we should just assume today that they are on par with the US when it comes to model development, and perhaps, have an edge when it comes to kind of real world model." — Jason Hsu, founder and CIO of Rayliant Global Advisors, on Excess Returns
The index has 500 names and 7 positions
"The S&P has 500 stocks, but really it's got seven stocks. So it's got, like, 400-plus stocks just creating transactions costs and round lot issues because, they don't have any weight." — Jason Hsu, founder and CIO of Rayliant Global Advisors, on Excess Returns
The chip trade runs through copper
"we need a lot of copper. Copper recently had an all-time high ... of more than $6 per pound." — Scott Ladner, CIO at Horizon Investments, on Fox Business
$99B of a $112B quarter was a markup
"So, Alphabet reported 112 billion in profits in its second quarter. But when you dig in, 99 billion of that was a non-cash gain from marking up its equity stake in private companies like SpaceX and Anthropic." — Kyle Grieve, co-host of The Intrinsic Value Podcast at The Investor's Podcast Network, on The Intrinsic Value Podcast
40 cents of revenue for every dollar spent
"If you simplify that, the rule is about 40 cents of new annual revenue for every dollar spent." — Shawn O'Malley, co-host of The Intrinsic Value Podcast at The Investor's Podcast Network, on The Intrinsic Value Podcast
Nobody asks to be regulated from strength
"Who in their right mind asks and begs for government regulation?" — A co-host of Basis Points, on Basis Points
VC & Startups
Authenticity comes before the pitch
"So the first thing you need is authenticity. No one's going to give you their money if they don't trust you, okay? Meaning you can't pretend to be someone else." — Reza Satchu, senior lecturer at Harvard Business School, on Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Sold at $110M, and he calls it a mistake
"We sold the business for $110 million in 2007. We started it in 2003. But I would tell you, we made a massive mistake, okay? We should have kept deploying capital." — Reza Satchu, senior lecturer at Harvard Business School, on Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Failed founders come back 2.5 years senior
"And what they found was the failed founders reentered the workforce with two and a half years of seniority above the traditional folks." — Reza Satchu, senior lecturer at Harvard Business School, on Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
Industrials and Transport
Jet fuel is up about 90% since February 28
"Fuel is definitely something we're all closely monitoring. Jet fuel is about a $180, dollars today, about 90% increase from February 28. That's a huge amount." — Hamad Ali Al-Khater, CEO of Qatar Airways Group, on Bloomberg Podcasts
None of it goes on the ticket
"We're not passing that cost to our customers at this stage in time." — Hamad Ali Al-Khater, CEO of Qatar Airways Group, on Bloomberg Podcasts
75% of the workforce was rented
"It was 75% of the workforce we were renting indefinitely because 30 years ago somebody instilled these arbitrary civil servant caps on our various centers, as opposed to anything statutory." — Jared Isaacman, administrator of NASA, on WSJ Events
A lander is a $200M decision
"They cost $200 million. They don't cost $10 billion each." — Jared Isaacman, administrator of NASA, on WSJ Events
Defense is waiting on a budget, not on demand
"Yeah, on the defense side, what's making the stock struggle is just the election, the mid-terms, the CR, lack of budget until December 10, so defense is not working for that reason. We don't have clarity." — Sheila Kahyaoglu, managing director and senior equities research analyst at Jefferies, on Fox Business
Raytheon is 60% commercial aerospace
"I think it benefits from commercial aerospace, which represents 60% of the business, and defense represents 40, and you get outsized mix to missile spending, which I think everybody will agree will continue." — Sheila Kahyaoglu, managing director and senior equities research analyst at Jefferies, on Fox Business
Materials & Energy
Gold at $5,000 is the call he trusts most
"This is kind of easy, but maybe the safest one would be gold. I think like I don't see how it won't go back to like 5k USD an ounce." — Jérémie Boyer, co-founder and lead research analyst at Aurelion Research, on Monetary Matters with Jack Farley
A $7 copper target, set conservatively
"our copper forecast right now the price is like 6.5 USD. Our price target is seven. I could have put eight, but it's for Christmas target. So, I try to be conservative" — Jérémie Boyer, co-founder and lead research analyst at Aurelion Research, on Monetary Matters with Jack Farley
Chinese fuel demand falls for the first time since 2001
"In fact, actually 2026, this will be the first year where we've actually seen Chinese transport fuel demand drop. That's since 2001 when they joined WTO, and we saw the start of the boom in the Chinese economy." — Andy Critchlow, head of energy news at Dow Jones Energy, on WSJ What's News
China buys the oil and America guards it
"What this has exposed is that, okay, China buys all the Middle Eastern oil, but it doesn't protect it, right? It's not Chinese naval vessels putting their lives on the line to protect the shipping. It's the U.S. And that's the paradox." — Andy Critchlow, head of energy news at Dow Jones Energy, on WSJ What's News
The reserves cannot cap the price any longer
"Countries have drawn from their fuel stocks. You cannot tap strategic oil reserves much further. So prices can only go up from that. There's nothing to cap them anymore." — Benoît Morenne, oil and gas reporter at The Wall Street Journal, on WSJ What's News
A diesel export ban could raise US prices
"The idea is that you would limit how much diesel refiners in the U.S. can send abroad. In theory, this would beef up supplies domestically and then lower prices for Americans. But there could be really bad unintended consequences. If refiners cannot sell their product abroad, they might just make less of it overall, and then prices in the U.S. would end up going up." — Benoît Morenne, oil and gas reporter at The Wall Street Journal, on WSJ What's News
Geopolitics
A toll at one strait gets copied at the rest
"Listen. It's a dangerous precedent for all of us if these kind of natural occurring waterways become the subject of sovereignty and become weaponized in the way that it has been during this crisis." — Majid Al Ansari, spokesman for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Qatar, on Bloomberg Podcasts
The missing commodities are helium and urea
"The lack of helium and urea is affecting food security, affecting technologies around the world." — Majid Al Ansari, spokesman for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Qatar, on Bloomberg Podcasts
Nobody since Kissinger has held both jobs
"That was one thing that he talked about was just how nobody in 50 years, nobody since Kissinger has had both of these jobs, Secretary of State and National Security Advisor, at the same time, and how things move at such a different speed now that it's really a 24-7 workload for him." — Eric Martin, State Department and foreign policy reporter at Bloomberg News, on Bloomberg This Weekend
Republican donors are already on 2028
"That was something that came out in our reporting about the number of donors such as Ken Griffin and others who are really rooting for Marco Rubio as a potential candidate for 2028. Even as he says that he has no plans to run, that he supports J.D. Vance if J.D. Vance is planning to run." — Eric Martin, State Department and foreign policy reporter at Bloomberg News, on Bloomberg This Weekend
No big member state has a growth policy voters will back
"Well, I think the fundamental problem that the EU has is that on the one hand, the establishment parties have failed to come up with a policy proposal which can both revive economic growth and win the backing of voters." — Ben Sills, managing editor for European economy and government at Bloomberg News, on Bloomberg Podcasts
The winter exposure is gas, not only oil
"Europe's dependency on The Middle East and the global markets for its energy is one of its major strategic weaknesses. And it's not just oil. It's the gas supplies for the winter heating season as well, which are running short because of the war." — Ben Sills, managing editor for European economy and government at Bloomberg News, on Bloomberg Podcasts
Riyadh asked twice and was refused twice
"We have reporting that Saudi crown prince MBS had spoken twice with Trump in recent weeks urging him to take that kinetic action, and the president so far has rebuffed that." — Jennifer Hansler, senior national security reporter at CNN, on Bloomberg Podcasts
A Lavrov meeting with no Ukrainian one is the signal
"We have heard, for example, from the Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov that he intends to meet with the Secretary of state, and that is, of course, going to be a huge meeting, particularly if there's not an equivalent or even higher level meeting with the Ukrainians." — Jennifer Hansler, senior national security reporter at CNN, on Bloomberg Podcasts
Markets are calmer because they fear missing the move
"And I think, you see the markets kind of being cool about everything, a little bit cooler than maybe they would have been four or five years ago. In AI, also everything to do with oil and the price of oil. And this is partly because there's a fear of missing out. They're worried that actually the trade goes on the other side." — Francine Lacqua, anchor and editor-at-large at Bloomberg Television, on Bloomberg Podcasts
European voters are worried about the price of milk
"I think most people in Europe worry about inflation. They worry about the price of milk. They worry about immigration a little bit like in The US." — Francine Lacqua, anchor and editor-at-large at Bloomberg Television, on Bloomberg Podcasts
Nuggets of Wisdom
200 to 300bps a year, measured over a century
"You're talking about 200 to 300 basis points of outperformance over a hundred years" — Ian Cassel, founder of MicroCapClub, on Fox Business
87% of the ten-baggers started as microcaps
"The data ... they analyze all global equities over a ten-year time ... and sure enough, 87 percent originated out of the microcap ecosystem. And the crazy thing is that most people do not even know that. We are all too obsessed with Tesla, Nvidia, to care about the bulk of the outperformance coming from microcap stocks." — Ian Cassel, founder of MicroCapClub, on Fox Business
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