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Scott Bessent (mentioned)

"Inflation is here to stay": former US Congressman on why spending won't be cut
12 arguments: why he says a real spending cut would bring riots, what he expects gold and bond yields to do when the dollar is dumped, and why he would…
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$20T sits in Chinese household savings and 7–10% own stocks, The David Lin Report finds
18 calls: why he credits China's import cut for oil below $120, where its Treasury holdings went, and the carmaker he doubts is still in China in 5…
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Damped Spring CIO on bonds: "nobody wants to own real Treasuries at 3% yield"
16 arguments: Why he says inflation only falls when asset prices do, what the Fed can and cannot do to 10-year yields, and why Japan is finally…
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More than half of US homes fell in price in 12 months — Whalen Global Advisors chairman
13 calls: Why the Fed gets forced back into bond buying, the $2T deficit that makes a rate hike beside the point, and the insurers he says will not be…
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"$2 billion is a drop in the bucket": Trajan Wealth CIO on Treasury buybacks
15 takeaways: why insurers swapped 30-year Treasuries for floating-rate private credit, where he buys bonds instead, and why he says the selloff in…
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Moody's chief economist: the 10-year was below 4% the day before the US bombed Iran
8 calls: Why he would vote to hold with the hike 95% priced, what a negative supply shock does to the Fed's two jobs, and the housing math at 7x income…
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AFR markets reporter on Cathie Wood: "Her fund fell 23% in 2021 and then 67% in 2022"
11 insights: Her case for global GDP growth above 7% by 2030, the $500K Bitcoin base case, and the US data-center backlash she says keeps her up at…
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"The only guarantee we can get is that they are not safe": UC Berkeley professor on AI
5 insights: Why he says the large language model was the wrong technology path, what Boeing's bypass of safety certification cost, and the behavioral…
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"I said the 10-year note is the risk asset": Macro Risk Advisors CEO on hedging
12 insights: A 40-point gap between single-stock and index volatility, $860B of new federal debt in 4 months, and the hedge he wants left on until…
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80% of voters have a negative view of AI, PIMCO's public policy head finds
11 takeaways: The base case of a Democratic House and a Republican Senate, the 2031 Social Security deadline she thinks finally forces Congress to act…
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The next CPI print starts with a 4 and stays there to March, says DoubleLine's CEO
14 calls: The portfolio he has moved entirely out of AI, why he says 30-year TIPS never protected anyone from rising rates, and the sector he calls the…
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Ex-BofA rates chief: 5.25% on the 10-year is where the AI trade breaks, not 6%
18 calls: Why he thinks Trump has to ban Chinese AI models before Anthropic's IPO, the $1.3T secondary bid against a $2T ask, and the oil trade he set…
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